| Age group | Proportion |
|---|---|
| Less than 18 years ago | 27% |
| 18-40 years old | 24% |
| 41-65 years old | 28% |
| Greater than 65 years old | 21% |
The table shows the distribution of people in a certain city by age group.
If a person in this city is selected at random, which of the following is closest to the probability of selecting a person who is greater than years old, given that the person is at least years old?
Explanation
Answer: B.
Explanation:1. Understand the problem: We are given a table showing the distribution of people in a city by age group. We need to find the conditional probability that a randomly selected person is greater than years old, given that the person is at least years old.
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Extract proportions from the table (Source [334]): - Less than years old: - years old: - years old: - Greater than years old: The sum of these proportions is .
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Define the events: Let A be the event that the selected person is greater than years old. Let B be the event that the selected person is at least years old. We want to find , the probability of A given B.
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Calculate , the probability that the person is at least years old: This includes the age groups , , and Greater than . or .
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Calculate , the probability that the person is greater than years old AND at least years old: If a person is greater than years old, they are automatically at least years old. So, the event "A and B" is the same as event A ("person is greater than years old"). or .
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Calculate the conditional probability : .
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Perform the division: .
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Compare with the given options and find the closest: [A] [B] [C] [D] (from PDF source, assuming this was intended) The calculated probability is closest to .
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Conclusion: The probability of selecting a person who is greater than years old, given that the person is at least years old, is closest to . This matches option [B].